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Scenario Creation and Evaluation

Scenarios are possible future settings. Scenario creation and evaluation allows the estimation of the most important non-steerable factors and their effect on the indicators of success. As a general rule, three scenarios are developed for a certain time frame (5 years, for instance): an optimistic, a pessimistic as well as a realistic setting, each of which includes an estimate of the opportunities and threats. In the following Netmapping process, the realistic scenario is used to set realistic targets as well as to evaluate current targets and to derive actions.

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